论文标题

空间 - 周期性变压器网络用于交通流量预测

Spatial-Temporal Transformer Networks for Traffic Flow Forecasting

论文作者

Xu, Mingxing, Dai, Wenrui, Liu, Chunmiao, Gao, Xing, Lin, Weiyao, Qi, Guo-Jun, Xiong, Hongkai

论文摘要

流量预测已成为智能运输系统的核心组成部分。但是,由于交通流量的高度非线性和动态的空间依赖性,及时准确的流量预测,尤其是长期预测,仍然是一个开放的挑战。在本文中,我们提出了一个新型的空间变压器网络(STTN)的范式,该范式利用动态定向的空间依赖性和远程时间依赖性来提高长期交通预测的准确性。具体而言,我们通过动态建模有针对性的空间依赖性,以自我发挥机制来捕获实时交通状况以及流量流的方向性,从而提出了一个名为“空间变压器”的图形神经网络的新变体。此外,可以通过多头注意机制共同建模不同的空间依赖模式,以考虑与不同因素(例如相似性,连通性和协方差)相关的多种关系。另一方面,颞变压器可用于建模多个时间步骤的远程双向时间依赖性。最后,它们被作为块,以共同对空间依赖性建模以进行准确的交通预测。与现有作品相比,该模型可以在远程时空依赖性上进行快速,可扩展的训练。实验结果表明,与最先进的模型相比,所提出的模型可以实现竞争成果,尤其是预测现实世界中PEMS-Bay和PEMSD7(M)数据集的长期交通流。

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a core component of intelligent transportation systems. However, timely accurate traffic forecasting, especially long-term forecasting, still remains an open challenge due to the highly nonlinear and dynamic spatial-temporal dependencies of traffic flows. In this paper, we propose a novel paradigm of Spatial-Temporal Transformer Networks (STTNs) that leverages dynamical directed spatial dependencies and long-range temporal dependencies to improve the accuracy of long-term traffic forecasting. Specifically, we present a new variant of graph neural networks, named spatial transformer, by dynamically modeling directed spatial dependencies with self-attention mechanism to capture realtime traffic conditions as well as the directionality of traffic flows. Furthermore, different spatial dependency patterns can be jointly modeled with multi-heads attention mechanism to consider diverse relationships related to different factors (e.g. similarity, connectivity and covariance). On the other hand, the temporal transformer is utilized to model long-range bidirectional temporal dependencies across multiple time steps. Finally, they are composed as a block to jointly model the spatial-temporal dependencies for accurate traffic prediction. Compared to existing works, the proposed model enables fast and scalable training over a long range spatial-temporal dependencies. Experiment results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves competitive results compared with the state-of-the-arts, especially forecasting long-term traffic flows on real-world PeMS-Bay and PeMSD7(M) datasets.

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