论文标题
建立COVID-19漏洞指数
Building a COVID-19 Vulnerability Index
论文作者
论文摘要
Covid-19是一种急性呼吸道疾病，已被世界卫生组织归类为大流行。这种疾病的表征仍处于早期阶段。但是，众所周知，它具有较高的死亡率，尤其是在患有医疗状况的人中。创建模型来识别由于19号而导致严重并发症风险最大的个体，这对于宣传运动很有用，以帮助减轻疾病的最坏影响。尽管Covid-19的特定信息是有限的，但由于其他上呼吸道感染而引起的并发症的模型可以用作代理，以帮助识别那些处于最大风险的人。我们为预测这种并发症的三个模型提供了结果，每个模型都以易于实施的方式提高了预测有效性。
COVID-19 is an acute respiratory disease that has been classified as a pandemic by the World Health Organization. Characterization of this disease is still in its early stages. However, it is known to have high mortality rates, particularly among individuals with preexisting medical conditions. Creating models to identify individuals who are at the greatest risk for severe complications due to COVID-19 will be useful for outreach campaigns to help mitigate the disease's worst effects. While information specific to COVID-19 is limited, a model using complications due to other upper respiratory infections can be used as a proxy to help identify those individuals who are at the greatest risk. We present the results for three models predicting such complications, with each model increasing predictive effectiveness at the expense of ease of implementation.
