论文标题
在诸如COVID-19
Reactive Social distancing in a SIR model of epidemics such as COVID-19
论文作者
论文摘要
提出了一种反应性社会疏远模型,其中感染率随感染的数量而变化。峰值感染比例也可以通过分析得出流行病的总数的最终大小方程。该模型可以在COVID-19大流行期间为计划者提供帮助。
A model of reactive social distancing in epidemics is proposed, in which the infection rate changes with the number infected. The final-size equation for the total number that the epidemic will infect can be derived analytically, as can the peak infection proportion. This model could assist planners during for example the COVID-19 pandemic.