论文标题

欧盟决策的人工智能。对公民对投入,吞吐量和输出合法性的看法的影响

Artificial Intelligence for EU Decision-Making. Effects on Citizens Perceptions of Input, Throughput and Output Legitimacy

论文作者

Starke, Christopher, Luenich, Marco

论文摘要

缺乏政治合法性破坏了欧盟解决重大危机并威胁整个系统稳定的能力。通过将数字数据集成到政治过程中,欧盟试图将决策越来越多地基于合理的经验证据。特别是,人工智能系统有可能通过确定紧迫的社会问题,预测潜在的政策结果,为政策过程提供信息并评估政策有效性来提高政治合法性。本文调查了公民对欧盟投入,吞吐量和产出合法性的看法如何受三种不同的决策安排的影响。首先,独立的人类决策,HDM,第二,独立的算法决策,ADM,第三,欧盟政客和基于AI的系统的混合决策共同。对572名受访者进行预注册的在线实验的结果表明,现有的欧盟决策安排仍然被视为最民主的输入合法性。但是,关于决策过程本身 - 吞吐量合法性及其政策成果 - 输出合法性,现状和混合决策涉及ADM和民主选举产生的欧盟机构之间没有差异。在ADM系统是唯一的决策者的地方,受访者倾向于将其视为非法。本文讨论了这些发现对欧盟合法性和数据驱动决策的影响。

A lack of political legitimacy undermines the ability of the European Union to resolve major crises and threatens the stability of the system as a whole. By integrating digital data into political processes, the EU seeks to base decision-making increasingly on sound empirical evidence. In particular, artificial intelligence systems have the potential to increase political legitimacy by identifying pressing societal issues, forecasting potential policy outcomes, informing the policy process, and evaluating policy effectiveness. This paper investigates how citizens perceptions of EU input, throughput, and output legitimacy are influenced by three distinct decision-making arrangements. First, independent human decision-making, HDM, Second, independent algorithmic decision-making, ADM, and, third, hybrid decision-making by EU politicians and AI-based systems together. The results of a pre-registered online experiment with 572 respondents suggest that existing EU decision-making arrangements are still perceived as the most democratic - input legitimacy. However, regarding the decision-making process itself - throughput legitimacy - and its policy outcomes - output legitimacy, no difference was observed between the status quo and hybrid decision-making involving both ADM and democratically elected EU institutions. Where ADM systems are the sole decision-maker, respondents tend to perceive these as illegitimate. The paper discusses the implications of these findings for EU legitimacy and data-driven policy-making.

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