论文标题
COVID-19的多边进口案例对中国流行控制的影响
The impact of multilateral imported cases of COVID-19 on the epidemic control in China
论文作者
论文摘要
如今，中国的Covid-19的流行正在控制。但是，这种流行病正在世界各地迅速发展。由于人口的正常迁移，中国面临进口案件的高风险。潜在的特定药物和疫苗仍在临床试验过程中。目前，控制进口案件的影响是防止Covid-19在中国进行新爆发的关键。在本文中，我们提出了两个冲动系统来描述Covid-19的多边进口案例的影响。根据已发布的数据，我们模拟并讨论了不同控制策略下的流行趋势。我们比较四种不同的情况，并显示了相应的医疗负担。结果有助于在实践中为进口案件设计适当的控制策略。
Nowadays, the epidemic of COVID-19 in China is under control. However, the epidemic are developing rapidly around the world. Due to the normal migration of population, China is facing high risk from imported cases. The potential specific medicine and vaccine is still in the process of clinical trials. Currently, controlling the impact of imported cases is the key to prevent new outbreak of COVID-19 in China. In this paper, we propose two impulsive systems to describe the impact of multilateral imported cases of COVID-19. Based on the published data, we simulate and discussed the epidemic trends under different control strategies. We compare four different scenarios and show the corresponding medical burden. The results help to design appropriate control strategy for imported cases in practice.
