论文标题
在小世界中，病毒的大流行阶段很长
The pandemic of viruses with a long incubation phase in the small world
论文作者
论文摘要
考虑到病毒长期孵育期间造成的延迟，考虑了病毒在选定城市和城市网络中的传播模型。与流浪者相比，延迟效应的效果没有这样的延迟。已经确定了感染扩散的暂时不对称性，这意味着大流行的时间显着超过了其完成的时间。进行了相互联系的大小城市网络中病毒传播的模型计算，并且与单个城市中病毒的传播相比，揭示了动态特征，包括重新感染大型巨鼠的可能性。
A model of the spread of viruses in selected city and in a network of cities is considered, taking into account the delay caused by the long incubation period of the virus. The effect of delay effects is shown in comparison with pandemics without such delay. A temporary asymmetry of the spread of infection has been identified, which means that the time for a pandemic to develop significantly exceeds the time for its completion. Model calculations of the spread of viruses in a network of interconnected large and small cities were carried out, and dynamics features were revealed in comparison with the spread of viruses in a single city, including the possibility of reinfection of megalopolis.
