论文标题
全国范围内封锁对COVID-19意大利的可传播性的影响
The impact of a nation-wide lockdown on COVID-19 transmissibility in Italy
论文作者
论文摘要
2020年3月10日，意大利施加了全国性的封锁，以减少19日的传播。在这里，我们估计，在实施该战略后的十四天后，净繁殖数量已降至流行阈值以下 - 估计范围为0.4-0.7。我们的发现提供了实施锁定的有效性的时间表，这与意大利遵循的许多国家执行类似措施的国家有关。
On March 10, 2020, Italy imposed a national lockdown to curtail the spread of COVID-19. Here we estimate that, fourteen days after the implementation of the strategy, the net reproduction number has dropped below the epidemic threshold - estimated range 0.4-0.7. Our findings provide a timeline of the effectiveness of the implemented lockdown, which is relevant for a large number of countries that followed Italy in enforcing similar measures.
