论文标题
结构性变化水平：对中国发展的分析1998-2014
Levels of structural change: An analysis of China's development push 1998-2014
论文作者
论文摘要
我们在1998 - 2014年期间特别快速增长的时期调查了公关中国的结构变化。为此，我们利用来自中国工业企业数据库的世界输入输出数据库的部门数据和公司级别的数据。从文献（Fabricant的法律）中知道的相关定律开始，我们研究哪些经验规律性在该部门层面上成立，并表明这些相关性中的许多相关性无法在公司级别上恢复。为了进行更详细的分析，我们提出了一个多层框架，该框架通过经验验证。为此，我们执行了强大的回归，因为发现企业级别的各种输入变量以及探索性OLS回归的残差被认为是重尾的。我们得出的结论是，Fabricant的法律和其他规律性主要是部门层面的特征，这些特征依赖于基础设施，技术层面，创新能力以及相关劳动力的知识库等方面。我们通过详细介绍一些较大部门的发展来说明我们的分析，并在发展经济学，进化经济学和工业组织的背景下提供一些政策含义。
We investigate structural change in the PR China during a period of particularly rapid growth 1998-2014. For this, we utilize sectoral data from the World Input-Output Database and firm-level data from the Chinese Industrial Enterprise Database. Starting with correlation laws known from the literature (Fabricant's laws), we investigate which empirical regularities hold at the sectoral level and show that many of these correlations cannot be recovered at the firm level. For a more detailed analysis, we propose a multi-level framework, which is validated with empirically. For this, we perform a robust regression, since various input variables at the firm-level as well as the residuals of exploratory OLS regressions are found to be heavy-tailed. We conclude that Fabricant's laws and other regularities are primarily characteristics of the sectoral level which rely on aspects like infrastructure, technology level, innovation capabilities, and the knowledge base of the relevant labor force. We illustrate our analysis by showing the development of some of the larger sectors in detail and offer some policy implications in the context of development economics, evolutionary economics, and industrial organization.
