论文标题

Covid-19和社会遥远的悖论:危险和解决方案

COVID-19 and the Social Distancing Paradox: dangers and solutions

论文作者

Marchiori, Massimo

论文摘要

背景:没有经过证实的效果治疗和疫苗,社会距离是对Covid-19的关键保护因素。仅靠社会距离就足以再次保护病毒,但是事物的发展却大不相同,理论与实践之间的不匹配很大。什么原因?一个大问题是没有实际的社会疏远数据,而大流行中相应的人行为尚不清楚。我们收集了世界优先的数据集,该数据集关于Covid-19爆发期间的社会距离,因此,首次了解人们如何真正实施社会疏远,确定当前情况的危险,并找到针对这种和未来的大流行的解决方案。 方法:使用基于传感器的社会距离带,我们在最关键的Covid-19爆发期间从意大利收集了两个多月的社会距离数据。此外,我们调查了是否以及如何佩戴各种个人保护设备(例如面具)会影响社会疏远。 结果:如果没有面具,人们就采用了违反直觉危险的策略,这种悖论可以解释社会疏远的相对缺乏效力。使用口罩从根本上改变了情况,打破了矛盾的行为并导致安全的社会距离行为。不用面具,也可以使用DIY(自己动手)面具:即使在不过滤保护的情况下,它们也提供了社会疏远的保护。护目镜应推荐供一般使用,因为它们可以提供更大的安全性提升。通用的公共卫生政策和媒体运动在社会疏远方面无法很好地发挥作用:需要明确关注必要移动性的行为问题。

Background: Without proven effect treatments and vaccines, Social Distancing is the key protection factor against COVID-19. Social distancing alone should have been enough to protect again the virus, yet things have gone very differently, with a big mismatch between theory and practice. What are the reasons? A big problem is that there is no actual social distancing data, and the corresponding people behavior in a pandemic is unknown. We collect the world-first dataset on social distancing during the COVID-19 outbreak, so to see for the first time how people really implement social distancing, identify dangers of the current situation, and find solutions against this and future pandemics. Methods: Using a sensor-based social distancing belt we collected social distance data from people in Italy for over two months during the most critical COVID-19 outbreak. Additionally, we investigated if and how wearing various Personal Protection Equipment, like masks, influences social distancing. Results: Without masks, people adopt a counter-intuitively dangerous strategy, a paradox that could explain the relative lack of effectiveness of social distancing. Using masks radically changes the situation, breaking the paradoxical behavior and leading to a safe social distance behavior. In shortage of masks, DIY (Do It Yourself) masks can also be used: even without filtering protection, they provide social distancing protection. Goggles should be recommended for general use, as they give an extra powerful safety boost. Generic Public Health policies and media campaigns do not work well on social distancing: explicit focus on the behavioral problems of necessary mobility are needed.

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