论文标题
阴谋与科学:在线讨论级联的大规模分析
Conspiracy vs science: A large-scale analysis of online discussion cascades
论文作者
论文摘要
随着社交媒体平台和社交网站的出现和快速扩散,近年来,我们的日常生活中见证了错误信息的激增。利用一个涵盖超过140万帖子和18m评论的大规模数据集,我们调查了两个不同的叙述的传播 - (i)阴谋信息,其主张通常未经证实,因此在某种程度上被称为错误信息,以及(ii)的科学信息,其起源通常是可以易于识别且可识别的在线社交媒体平台。我们发现,阴谋级联倾向于在多代分支过程中传播,而科学级联则更有可能以广度的方式生长。具体而言,阴谋信息会触发更大的级联,涉及更多的用户和世代,持续时间更长,比科学信息更具病毒和爆发。内容分析表明,阴谋级联包含更多的负面词和情感词,这些单词传达了愤怒,恐惧,厌恶,惊讶和信任。我们还发现,阴谋级联更关注政治和有争议的话题。在应用机器学习模型之后,我们在将阴谋与科学叙事区分开的AUC分数中达到了近90%。 我们发现,与科学级联相比,阴谋级联更有可能由更广泛的用户控制,这对管理错误信息构成了新的挑战。尽管人们认为政治亲和力会影响错误信息的消费,但很少有证据表明,信息来源的政治取向在阴谋信息传播过程中起着作用。我们的研究为当前的错误信息研究提供了补充的证据,并具有实际的政策含义,以阻止传播并减轻在线错误信息的影响。
With the emergence and rapid proliferation of social media platforms and social networking sites, recent years have witnessed a surge of misinformation spreading in our daily life. Drawing on a large-scale dataset which covers more than 1.4M posts and 18M comments, we investigate the propagation of two distinct narratives--(i) conspiracy information, whose claims are generally unsubstantiated and thus referred as misinformation to some extent, and (ii) scientific information, whose origins are generally readily identifiable and verifiable--in an online social media platform. We find that conspiracy cascades tend to propagate in a multigenerational branching process while science cascades are more likely to grow in a breadth-first manner. Specifically, conspiracy information triggers larger cascades, involves more users and generations, persists longer, is more viral and bursty than science information. Content analysis reveals that conspiracy cascades contain more negative words and emotional words which convey anger, fear, disgust, surprise and trust. We also find that conspiracy cascades are more concerned with political and controversial topics. After applying machine learning models, we achieve an AUC score of nearly 90% in discriminating conspiracy from science narratives. We find that conspiracy cascades are more likely to be controlled by a broader set of users than science cascades, imposing new challenges on the management of misinformation. Although political affinity is thought to affect the consumption of misinformation, there is very little evidence that political orientation of the information source plays a role during the propagation of conspiracy information. Our study provides complementing evidence to current misinformation research and has practical policy implications to stem the propagation and mitigate the influence of misinformation online.