论文标题

揭示选择括号

Revealing Choice Bracketing

论文作者

Ellis, Andrew, Freeman, David J.

论文摘要

实验表明,人们未能考虑其选择之间的相互依存关系 - 他们没有广泛的括号。相反,研究人员通常认为人们狭窄的括号,但现有的设计没有测试。我们设计了一个新颖的实验,并揭示了某人如何括起其选择的偏好测试。在风险,社会分配和引人入胜的购物实验的投资组合分配中,40-43%的受试者与狭窄的括号一致,而0-16%的受试者与宽大的括号一致。调整每个模型的预测精度,有74%的受试者可以通过狭窄的括号,13%的范围来描述,通过宽括号为13%,中间病例最好地描述6%。

Experiments suggest that people fail to take into account interdependencies between their choices -- they do not broadly bracket. Researchers often instead assume that people narrowly bracket, but existing designs do not test it. We design a novel experiment and revealed preference tests for how someone brackets their choices. In portfolio allocation under risk, social allocation, and induced-value shopping experiments, 40-43% of subjects are consistent with narrow bracketing and 0-16% with broad bracketing. Adjusting for each model's predictive precision, 74% of subjects are best described by narrow bracketing, 13% by broad bracketing, and 6% by intermediate cases.

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