论文标题
基于代理的模型，用于在COVID-19爆发与经济活动之间相互关系
An agent-based model for interrelation between COVID-19 outbreak and economic activities
论文作者
论文摘要
截至2020年7月，由冠状病毒引起的急性呼吸道综合征正在遍及世界各地，并造成严重的经济损害。虽然最大程度地减少人类接触是有效地管理爆发的，但会造成严重的经济损失。通过考虑病毒传播与经济活动之间的相互关系来解决这一困境的策略迫切需要减轻健康和经济损害。在这里，我们提出了一个基于抽象的代理模型，以考虑到Covid-19的爆发，其中考虑了经济活动。该模型的计算模拟概括了与锁定措施相关的健康和经济损害之间的权衡。基于模拟结果，我们讨论了个人行为的宏观动态和经济的宏观动态。我们认为，我们的模型可以作为讨论上述困境解决方案的平台。
As of July, 2020, acute respiratory syndrome caused by coronavirus COVID-19 is spreading over the world and causing severe economic damages. While minimizing human contact is effective in managing the outbreak, it causes severe economic losses. Strategies solving this dilemma by considering interrelation between the spread of the virus and economic activities are in urgent needs for mitigating the health and economic damage. Here we propose an abstract agent-based model for the outbreak of COVID-19 in which economic activities are taken into account. The computational simulation of the model recapitulated the trade-off between health and economic damage associated with lockdown measures. Based on the simulation results, we discuss how macroscopic dynamics of infection and economy emerge from the individuals' behaviours. We believe our model can serve as a platform for discussing solutions to the abovementioned dilemma.
