论文标题
早期感染的SIR模型中的参数估计
Parameter estimation in the SIR model from early infections
论文作者
论文摘要
流行病的标准模型是图上的SIR模型。我们引入了一种简单的算法,该算法使用SIR模型样本路径的早期感染时间来估计该模型的参数,并在局部树状图的设置中提供了性能保证。
A standard model for epidemics is the SIR model on a graph. We introduce a simple algorithm that uses the early infection times from a sample path of the SIR model to estimate the parameters this model, and we provide a performance guarantee in the setting of locally tree-like graphs.