论文标题

使用随机动态编程代表住宅建筑能源管理的长期影响

Representing Long-term Impact of Residential Building Energy Management using Stochastic Dynamic Programming

论文作者

Thorvaldsen, Kasper Emil, Bjarghov, Sigurd, Farahmand, Hossein

论文摘要

在包括基于容量的电网关税的情况下,很难在短期安排住宅建筑以优化电费。根据建议的峰值(MP)网格关税安排建筑物,这是基于一段时间内最高峰值功率的成本,要求用户考虑当前决策将来的影响。因此,作者提出了使用随机动态编程(SDP)的数学模型,该模型试图代表当前决策的长期影响。 SDP算法根据一个月内每天的峰值向后计算建筑物的非线性预期未来成本曲线(EFCC)。使用离散的马尔可夫链设置考虑负载需求和天气的不确定性。该模型适用于具有灵活负载智能控制的挪威建筑物的案例研究,并与未准确表示MP电网关税的方法进行了比较,并且用户拥有整个月的完美信息。结果表明,SDP算法的性能比没有准确呈现未来影响的方案好0.3%,并且与用户具有完美信息的情况相比,其表现较差3.6%。

Scheduling a residential building short-term to optimize the electricity bill can be difficult with the inclusion of capacity-based grid tariffs. Scheduling the building based on a proposed measured-peak (MP) grid tariff, which is a cost based on the highest peak power over a period, requires the user to consider the impact the current decision-making has in the future. Therefore, the authors propose a mathematical model using stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) that tries to represent the long-term impact of current decision-making. The SDP algorithm calculates non-linear expected future cost curves (EFCC) for the building based on the peak power backwards for each day over a month. The uncertainty in load demand and weather are considered using a discrete Markov chain setup. The model is applied to a case study for a Norwegian building with smart control of flexible loads, and compared against methods where the MP grid tariff is not accurately represented, and where the user has perfect information of the whole month. The results showed that the SDP algorithm performs 0.3 % better than a scenario with no accurate way of presenting future impacts, and performs 3.6 % worse compared to a scenario where the user had perfect information.

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