论文标题
可再生能源的高渗透能力网格的弹性和性能：巴利阿里群岛作为案例研究
Resilience and performance of the power grid with high penetration of renewable energy sources: the Balearic Islands as a case study
论文作者
论文摘要
我们使用ORNL-PSERC-ALASKA（OPA）模型分析了可再生能源的高渗透功率网格的动力学。特别是，我们将巴利阿里群岛的功率网格视为案例研究。模型中包括太阳能生成和使用存储的日常波动。通过停电分配来分析弹性，并将性能衡量为太阳能发电所涵盖的需求的平均分数。我们发现，通过当前的消费模式和中等存储，太阳能生成可以替代传统的发电厂，而不会损害最高$ 30 \％的总安装容量的可靠性。我们还发现，使用源冗余，可以覆盖高达$ 80 \％$ $或更多的太阳能工厂需求，同时保持与完全常规发电相似的风险。但是，这要求超大安装的太阳能至少比平均需求大2.5美元。还简要讨论了风能的潜力
We analyze the dynamics of the power grid with a high penetration of renewable energy sources using the ORNL-PSERC-Alaska (OPA) model. In particular we consider the power grid of the Balearic Islands with a high share of solar photovoltaic power as a case study. Day-to-day fluctuations of the solar generation and the use of storage are included in the model. Resilience is analyzed through the blackout distribution and performance is measured as the average fraction of the demand covered by solar power generation. We find that with the present consumption patterns and moderate storage, solar generation can replace conventional power plants without compromising reliability up to $30\%$ of the total installed capacity. We also find that using source redundancy it is possible to cover up to $80\%$ or more of the demand with solar plants, while keeping the risk similar to that with full conventional generation. However this requires oversizing the installed solar power to be at least $2.5$ larger than the average demand. The potential of wind energy is also briefly discussed
