论文标题

对黑色 - choles方程解决方案的新方法的评估

An Evaluation of novel method of Ill-Posed Problem for the Black-Scholes Equation solution

论文作者

Golubnichiy, Kirill V., Wang, Tianyang, Nikitin, Andrey V.

论文摘要

克利巴诺夫(Klibanov)提出了一种新的经验数学方法,可以与黑甲状化方程式配合使用。该方程式在及时解决,以预测股票期权的价格。由于问题不足,它被使用了正则化方法。该方法的独特性,稳定性和收敛定理是制定的。对于每个单独的选项,历史数据用于输入。后者是针对从华盛顿大学彭博终点站选出的二十万股票期权完成的。它使用了罗素(Russell 2000)指数。主要观察结果是,它证明了技术与新的交易策略相结合,从而为这些选择带来了可观的利润。另一方面,这证明了琐碎的外推技术导致这些选择的利润要小得多。这是一项实验性工作。最小化过程由华盛顿大学研究计算俱乐部的下一代超级计算机进行。结果,它获得了约50,000个最小化器。该代码是并行化的,以最大程度地提高超级计算机簇上的性能。带有Scipy模块的Python用于实现。您可能会在GitHub上可用的源软件包中找到最小化器。第7章致力于应用机器学习。我们能够使用最小化器作为新数据来提高盈利能力。我们对最小化器的设置进行了分类,以过滤为交易策略。所有结果均可在GitHub上找到。

It was proposed by Klibanov a new empirical mathematical method to work with the Black-Scholes equation. This equation is solved forwards in time to forecast prices of stock options. It was used the regularization method because of ill-posed problems. Uniqueness, stability and convergence theorems for this method are formulated. For each individual option, historical data is used for input. The latter is done for two hundred thousand stock options selected from the Bloomberg terminal of University of Washington. It used the index Russell 2000. The main observation is that it was demonstrated that technique, combined with a new trading strategy, results in a significant profit on those options. On the other hand, it was demonstrated the trivial extrapolation techniques results in much lesser profit on those options. This was an experimental work. The minimization process was performed by Hyak Next Generation Supercomputer of the research computing club of University of Washington. As a result, it obtained about 50,000 minimizers. The code is parallelized in order to maximize the performance on supercomputer clusters. Python with the SciPy module was used for implementation. You may find minimizers in the source package that is available on GitHub. Chapter 7 is dedicated to application of machine learning. We were able to improve our results of profitability using minimizers as new data. We classified the minimizer's set to filter for the trading strategy. All results are available on GitHub.

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