论文标题
部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测
The Role of Gossiping for Information Dissemination over Networked Agents
论文作者
论文摘要
储层计算是预测湍流的有力工具,其简单的架构具有处理大型系统的计算效率。然而,其实现通常需要完整的状态向量测量和系统非线性知识。我们使用非线性投影函数将系统测量扩展到高维空间,然后将其输入到储层中以获得预测。我们展示了这种储层计算网络在时空混沌系统上的应用,该系统模拟了湍流的若干特征。我们表明,使用径向基函数作为非线性投影器,即使只有部分观测并且不知道控制方程,也能稳健地捕捉复杂的系统非线性。最后,我们表明,当测量稀疏、不完整且带有噪声,甚至控制方程变得不准确时,我们的网络仍然可以产生相当准确的预测,从而为实际湍流系统的无模型预测铺平了道路。
We consider information dissemination over a network of gossiping agents (nodes). In this model, a source keeps the most up-to-date information about a time-varying binary state of the world, and $n$ receiver nodes want to follow the information at the source as accurately as possible. When the information at the source changes, the source first sends updates to a subset of $m\leq n$ nodes. After that, the nodes share their local information during the gossiping period to disseminate the information further. The nodes then estimate the information at the source using the majority rule at the end of the gossiping period. To analyze information dissemination, we introduce a new error metric to find the average percentage of nodes that can accurately obtain the most up-to-date information at the source. We characterize the equations necessary to obtain the steady-state distribution for the average error and then analyze the system behavior under both high and low gossip rates. In the high gossip rate, in which each node can access other nodes' information more frequently, we show that the nodes update their information based on the majority of the information in the network. In the low gossip rate, we introduce and analyze the gossip gain, which is the reduction at the average error due to gossiping. In particular, we develop an adaptive policy that the source can use to determine its current transmission capacity $m$ based on its past transmission rates and the accuracy of the information at the nodes. In numerical results, we show that when the source's transmission capacity $m$ is limited, gossiping can be harmful as it causes incorrect information to disseminate. We then find the optimal gossip rates to minimize the average error for a fixed $m$. Finally, we illustrate the outperformance of our adaptive policy compared to the constant $m$-selection policy even for the high gossip rates.