论文标题

UCLCHEMCMC:MCMC分子云物理参数的推理工具

UCLCHEMCMC: A MCMC Inference tool for Physical Parameters of Molecular Clouds

论文作者

Keil, Marcus, Viti, Serena, Holdship, Jonathan

论文摘要

我们介绍了公开可用的开源代码uclchemcmc,旨在通过将蒙特卡洛·马尔可夫链(MCMC)采样与化学和辐射转移模型相结合,旨在估计观察到的气体云的物理参数。当给定观察到的不同发射线的值时,UCLCHEMCMC运行贝叶斯参数推断,使用MCMC算法来采样可能性,并对参数的后验概率分布进行估计。 UClchemCMC采用了完整的正向建模方法,通过化学和辐射转移建模从物理参数中生成模型可观察物。在运行UCLCHEMCMC时,创建的化学模型和辐射传输代码结果存储在SQL数据库中,从而阻止了将来推论中的冗余模型计算。这意味着使用越大的uclchemcmc,它变得越有效。使用UClchem和Radex,效率的提高近两个数量级,从5185.33 \ PM 1041.96 s进行十个步行者,当数据库空置时,在数据库中几乎所有型号都在数据库中时,可以在数据库为空时进行一千个步骤。为了证明其有用性,我们提供了UCLCHEMCMC的示例推理以估计模拟数据的物理参数,并对所研究的PRESTELLAR CORE L1544执行两种推论,其中一种表明,在确定对象时考虑哪种发射线时,考虑到对象的子结构很重要。

We present the publicly available, open source code UCLCHEMCMC, designed to estimate physical parameters of an observed cloud of gas by combining Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling with chemical and radiative transfer modeling. When given the observed values of different emission lines, UCLCHEMCMC runs a Bayesian parameter inference, using a MCMC algorithm to sample the likelihood and produce an estimate of the posterior probability distribution of the parameters. UCLCHEMCMC takes a full forward modeling approach, generating model observables from the physical parameters via chemical and radiative transfer modeling. While running UCLCHEMCMC, the created chemical models and radiative transfer code results are stored in an SQL database, preventing redundant model calculations in future inferences. This means that the more UCLCHEMCMC is used, the more efficient it becomes. Using UCLCHEM and RADEX, the increase of efficiency is nearly two orders of magnitude, going from 5185.33 \pm 1041.96 s for ten walkers to take one thousand steps when the database is empty, to 68.89 \pm 45.39 s when nearly all models requested are in the database. In order to demonstrate its usefulness we provide an example inference of UCLCHEMCMC to estimate the physical parameters of mock data, and perform two inferences on the well studied prestellar core, L1544, one of which show that it is important to consider the substructures of an object when determining which emission lines to use.

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