论文标题

在药物开发中意识和使用定量决策方法

Awareness and use of quantitative decision-making methods in pharmaceutical development

论文作者

Thömmes, Guido, Sailer, Martin Oliver, Bonnet, Nicolas, Carlton, Alex, Abellan, Juan J., Robert, Veronique

论文摘要

在过去的几年中,制药行业的成本增加,药物开发率持续较高。从统计角度来解决这一挑战的一项建议是使用定量决策(QDM)方法来支持数据驱动的,客观地评估证据,这些证据构成了不同发展水平的决策基础。该行业统计领导者之间的认识越来越多,导致了欧洲EFSPI/PSI特别兴趣小组(ESIG)在定量决策方面创建,以分享经验,收集最佳实践并促进QDM的使用。在本文中,我们介绍了QDM的关键组成部分,并在试验,程序和投资组合级别中介绍了QDM方法的示例。 ESIG创建了一份问卷,以了解当前在不同开发阶段中使用QDM方法的方式以及在何种程度上。我们介绍了主要的问卷调查结果,并展示了今天已经使用了QDM的地方,也可以在哪里确定未来改进的领域。特别是,统计学家应提高其在跨职能决策中的知名度,参与和领导能力。

The pharmaceutical industry has experienced increasing costs and sustained high attrition rates in drug development over the last years. One proposal that addresses this challenge from a statistical perspective is the use of quantitative decision-making (QDM) methods to support a data-driven, objective appraisal of the evidence that forms the basis of decisions at different development levels. Growing awareness among statistical leaders in the industry has led to the creation of the European EFSPI/PSI special interest group (ESIG) on quantitative decision making to share experiences, collect best practices, and promote the use of QDM. In this paper, we introduce key components of QDM and present examples of QDM methods on trial, program, and portfolio level. The ESIG created a questionnaire to learn how and to what extent QDM methods are currently used in the different development phases. We present the main questionnaire findings, and we show where QDM is already used today but also where areas for future improvement can be identified. In particular, statisticians should increase their visibility, involvement, and leadership in cross-functional decision-making.

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