论文标题
关闭循环:电力系统中值得信赖的机器学习框架
Closing the Loop: A Framework for Trustworthy Machine Learning in Power Systems
论文作者
论文摘要
能源部门的深度脱碳将需要随机可再生能源资源的大量渗透和大量的网格资产协调。对于面对这种变化而负责维持电网稳定性和安全性的电力系统运营商来说,这是一个具有挑战性的范式。凭借从复杂数据集中学习并提供有关快速时间尺度的预测解决方案的能力,机器学习(ML)得到了很好的选择,可以帮助克服这些挑战,因为电源系统在未来几十年中的变化。在这项工作中,我们概述了与构建可信赖的ML模型相关的五个关键挑战(数据集生成,数据预处理,模型培训,模型评估和模型嵌入),这些模型从基于物理的仿真数据中学习。然后,我们演示了如何将单个模块链接在一起,每个模块都克服了各自的挑战,在机器学习管道的顺序阶段,如何将其连接在一起,可以帮助提高训练过程的整体性能。特别是,我们实施通过反馈连接学习管道的不同要素的方法,从而在模型培训,绩效评估和重新训练之间“关闭循环”。我们通过学习与拟议的北海风能中心系统的详细模型相关的N-1小信号稳定性边缘来证明该框架,其组成模块及其反馈连接的有效性。
Deep decarbonization of the energy sector will require massive penetration of stochastic renewable energy resources and an enormous amount of grid asset coordination; this represents a challenging paradigm for the power system operators who are tasked with maintaining grid stability and security in the face of such changes. With its ability to learn from complex datasets and provide predictive solutions on fast timescales, machine learning (ML) is well-posed to help overcome these challenges as power systems transform in the coming decades. In this work, we outline five key challenges (dataset generation, data pre-processing, model training, model assessment, and model embedding) associated with building trustworthy ML models which learn from physics-based simulation data. We then demonstrate how linking together individual modules, each of which overcomes a respective challenge, at sequential stages in the machine learning pipeline can help enhance the overall performance of the training process. In particular, we implement methods that connect different elements of the learning pipeline through feedback, thus "closing the loop" between model training, performance assessments, and re-training. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this framework, its constituent modules, and its feedback connections by learning the N-1 small-signal stability margin associated with a detailed model of a proposed North Sea Wind Power Hub system.