论文标题
时空异质性在热泵负载中的影响对发电和存储要求
Impact of spatiotemporal heterogeneity in heat pump loads on generation and storage requirements
论文作者
论文摘要
本文研究了不灵活的住宅热泵负载中时空异质性如何影响在业务 - 异常和低碳排放预算下的电力系统中的存储和发电。假设完全居住的热泵渗透,分别使用人口加权平均温度和局部温度产生同质和异质热泵负荷。比较了具有网络效应的存储和生成最佳扩展模型的结果,用于空间均匀和异质载荷轮廓。使用英国的伦敦,曼彻斯特和格拉斯哥的3大型网络进行案例研究,以在代表性的几周内进行负载和天气数据。使用异质的供暖需求数据更改存储尺寸的数据更改:在惯常的业务预算下,以能源和功率为基础的总存储量增加了26%,并且该存储在异构案例中分布在所有公共汽车中。在低碳预算下,所有公共汽车的总能源总存储在能源的基础上增加了2倍,而电力的总储能量为40%。考虑异质性时,每辆总线的存储能量比也会增加。这种变化表明,除了对高可再生电力系统中的电加热功率支持外,还需要存储以提供能源支持。核算异质性还增加了建模的系统成本,尤其是资本成本,因为在最大的负载中心需要更高的发电能力以及不同公共汽车的局部峰值需求的巧合。这些结果表明,在电力系统计划中,会计热泵负载异质性的重要性。
This paper investigates how spatiotemporal heterogeneity in inflexible residential heat pump loads affects the need for storage and generation in the electricity system under business-as-usual and low-carbon emissions budgets. Homogeneous and heterogeneous heat pump loads are generated using population-weighted average and local temperature, respectively, assuming complete residential heat pump penetration. The results of a storage and generation optimal expansion model with network effects for spatiotemporally homogeneous and heterogeneous load profiles are compared. A case study is performed using a 3-bus network of London, Manchester, and Glasgow in Britain for load and weather data for representative weeks. Using heterogeneous heating demand data changes storage sizing: under a business-as-usual budget, 26% more total storage is built on an energy and power basis, and this storage is distributed among all of the buses in the heterogeneous case. Under a low-carbon budget, total energy storage at all buses increases 2 times on an energy basis and 40% on a power basis. The energy to power ratio of storage at each bus also increases when accounting for heterogeneity; this change suggests that storage will be needed to provide energy support in addition to power support for electric heating in high-renewable power systems. Accounting for heterogeneity also increases modeled systems costs, particularly capital costs, because of the need for higher generation capacity in the largest load center and coincidence of local peak demand at different buses. These results show the importance of accounting for heat pump load heterogeneity in power system planning.