论文标题
通过社交媒体对枪支辩论进行建模
Modeling Political Activism around Gun Debate via Social Media
论文作者
论文摘要
美国的枪支暴力率是发达国家的一些最高率。然而,关于应在多大程度上调节枪支的程度存在分歧。在这项研究中,我们采用社交媒体信号来检查人口和个人层面的离线政治行动主义的预测指标。我们表明,可以对用户在枪支问题上的立场进行分类,尤其是在可用网络信息时准确地。除了社会经济变量外,辩论双方的相对大小之类的网络信息也可以预测国家级枪支政策。在个人层面上,我们使用网络,内容和心理语言特征构建一个统计模型,该模型可以预测现实生活中的政治行动,并探索最预测的语言特征。因此,我们认为,与人口统计和社会经济指标一起,社交媒体在围绕枪支辩论的政治参与的整体建模中提供了有用的信号。
The United States have some of the highest rates of gun violence among developed countries. Yet, there is a disagreement about the extent to which firearms should be regulated. In this study, we employ social media signals to examine the predictors of offline political activism, at both population and individual level. We show that it is possible to classify the stance of users on the gun issue, especially accurately when network information is available. Alongside socioeconomic variables, network information such as the relative size of the two sides of the debate is also predictive of state-level gun policy. On individual level, we build a statistical model using network, content, and psycho-linguistic features that predicts real-life political action, and explore the most predictive linguistic features. Thus, we argue that, alongside demographics and socioeconomic indicators, social media provides useful signals in the holistic modeling of political engagement around the gun debate.