论文标题

物理混合的度量评估典型个人的经济流动性

Measures of physical mixing evaluate the economic mobility of the typical individual

论文作者

Stojkoski, Viktor

论文摘要

经济流动性的度量代表了个人财富随时间变化的总价值。因此,这些措施可能无法描述一个典型个人改变其财富的可行性。为了解决这一限制,我们介绍了统计物理学的概念混合,作为一种相关现象,用于量化个人如何在财富分布中移动。我们在理论上和使用数据都显示混合与移动性之间的关系。通过研究已建立的财富动态模型的特性,我们表明,当财富是不可观察的时,有些人可以在分布中移动。只有在混合案例中,每个人才能在整个财富分配中移动。混合度量与标准经济流动措施的幅度之间也有直接的等效性,但事实并非如此。然后,我们描述了一种经验方法,用于估计实践中财富动态的混合特性。我们使用此方法使用美国纵向数据提出教学应用。即使数据可用性限制,这种方法也会导致结果表明美国的财富要么是非混合的,要么是个人在分布中混合需要很长时间。这些结果展示了如何将混合与迁移率的衡量标准一起得出整个分布程度的结论。

Measures of economic mobility represent aggregate values for how individual wealth changes over time. As such, these measures may not describe the feasibility of a typical individual to change their wealth. To address this limitation, we introduce mixing, a concept from statistical physics, as a relevant phenomenon for quantifying how individuals move across the wealth distribution. We display the relationship between mixing and mobility both theoretically and using data. By studying the properties of an established model of wealth dynamics, we show that some individuals can move across the distribution when wealth is a non-mixing observable. Only in the mixing case every individual is able to move across the whole wealth distribution. There is also a direct equivalence between measures of mixing and the magnitude of the standard measures of economic mobility, but the opposite is not true. We then describe an empirical method for estimating the mixing properties of wealth dynamics in practice. We use this method to present a pedagogical application using the USA longitudinal data. This, approach, even though limited in data availability, leads to results suggesting that wealth in the USA is either non-mixing or that it takes a very long time for the individuals to mix within the distribution. These results showcase how mixing can be used in tandem with measures of mobility for drawing conclusions about the extent of mobility across the whole distribution.

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