论文标题
基于物理的域适应框架,用于建模和预测建筑能源系统
A physics-based domain adaptation framework for modelling and forecasting building energy systems
论文作者
论文摘要
最先进的基于机器学习的模型是建筑物中建模和预测能量行为的流行选择,因为给出了足够的数据,即使在复杂性禁止分析描述的情况下,它们也擅长查找时空模式和结构。但是,它们的架构通常不会与与治理现象相关的机械结构的物理对应关系。结果,他们成功推广到未观察到的时间段的能力取决于数据中观察到的系统基础的动力学的代表性,这在现实世界中的工程问题(例如数字双胞胎的控制和能量管理)中很难保证。作为响应,我们提出了一个框架,该框架以线性时间不变(LTI)状态空间模型(SSM)的形式结合了总参数模型,并在基于子空间的域适应性(SDA)框架中无需监督的还原级建模。 SDA是一种转移学习(TL)技术,通常用于利用一个域中的标记数据以在不同但相关的目标域中预测其标记数据受到限制的目标域。我们引入了一种新型的SDA方法,我们利用了由众所周知的传热普通微分方程控制的LTI SSM的几何结构,而不是标记的数据,以预测未观察到的测量数据超出观察到的时间段。从根本上讲,我们的方法几何地将物理衍生和数据衍生的嵌入式子空间保持一致。在此最初的探索中,我们通过改变源和目标系统的热物理特性,以证明机械模型从基于物理学的域转移到数据域,来评估基于物理的SDA框架在证明性热传导方案上。
State-of-the-art machine-learning-based models are a popular choice for modeling and forecasting energy behavior in buildings because given enough data, they are good at finding spatiotemporal patterns and structures even in scenarios where the complexity prohibits analytical descriptions. However, their architecture typically does not hold physical correspondence to mechanistic structures linked with governing physical phenomena. As a result, their ability to successfully generalize for unobserved timesteps depends on the representativeness of the dynamics underlying the observed system in the data, which is difficult to guarantee in real-world engineering problems such as control and energy management in digital twins. In response, we present a framework that combines lumped-parameter models in the form of linear time-invariant (LTI) state-space models (SSMs) with unsupervised reduced-order modeling in a subspace-based domain adaptation (SDA) framework. SDA is a type of transfer-learning (TL) technique, typically adopted for exploiting labeled data from one domain to predict in a different but related target domain for which labeled data is limited. We introduce a novel SDA approach where instead of labeled data, we leverage the geometric structure of the LTI SSM governed by well-known heat transfer ordinary differential equations to forecast for unobserved timesteps beyond observed measurement data. Fundamentally, our approach geometrically aligns the physics-derived and data-derived embedded subspaces closer together. In this initial exploration, we evaluate the physics-based SDA framework on a demonstrative heat conduction scenario by varying the thermophysical properties of the source and target systems to demonstrate the transferability of mechanistic models from a physics-based domain to a data domain.