论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

Reducing the Impact of Weak-lensing Errors on Gravitational-wave Standard Sirens

论文作者

Wu, Zhao-Feng, Chan, Lok W. L., Hendry, Martin, Hannuksela, Otto A.

论文摘要

超大质量黑洞二进制文件(SMBHB)的合并可以用作标准警报器:标准蜡烛的重力波(GW)类似物。即将到来的太空GW检测器将能够发现此类系统并精确估计其光度距离。不幸的是,弱重力透镜会在高红移的这些标准警报器的测得的距离中引起重大误差,从而严重限制了它们作为精确距离探针的实用性。如果可以独立估计警报器的透镜放大倍率,则可以降低由于弱透镜而引起的不确定性,该程序称为“删除”。在最新的数值模拟的帮助下,我们在这里研究了通过从剪切测量中重建的收敛图可以减少多少弱透镜误差。我们还评估了使用明亮的标准警报器删除对宇宙学参数估计的影响。我们发现,$ z_s = 2.9 $的警笛声较弱的透镜错误可以减少约两个倍,但要实现这一目标,每个警报器都需要昂贵的超深野外观测值。这种方法仅在有限的情况下可能是实际的,因此弱透镜误差的减少可能不足以显着改善宇宙学参数估计。我们得出的结论是,与以前的研究中提出的更积极的期望相反,执行删除更正不可能是值得的。为了使删除在将来变得更加可行和有用,将需要对弱透明调查的分辨率/深度进行重大改进,并需要从这些调查中重建收敛图的方法。

The mergers of supermassive black hole binaries (SMBHBs) can serve as standard sirens: the gravitational wave (GW) analog of standard candles. The upcoming space-borne GW detectors will be able to discover such systems and estimate their luminosity distances precisely. Unfortunately, weak gravitational lensing can induce significant errors in the measured distance of these standard sirens at high redshift, severely limiting their usefulness as precise distance probes. The uncertainty due to weak lensing can be reduced if the lensing magnification of the siren can be estimated independently, a procedure called 'delensing'. With the help of up-to-date numerical simulations, here we investigate how much the weak-lensing errors can be reduced using convergence maps reconstructed from shear measurements. We also evaluate the impact of delensing on cosmological parameter estimation with bright standard sirens. We find that the weak-lensing errors for sirens at $z_s = 2.9$ can be reduced by about a factor of two on average, but to achieve this would require expensive ultra-deep field observations for every siren. Such an approach is likely to be practical in only limited cases, and the reduction in the weak-lensing error is therefore likely to be insufficient to significantly improve the cosmological parameter estimation. We conclude that performing delensing corrections is unlikely to be worthwhile, in contrast to the more positive expectations presented in previous studies. For delensing to become more practicable and useful in the future will require significant improvements in the resolution/depth of weak-lensing surveys and/or the methods to reconstruct convergence maps from these surveys.

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