论文标题

最佳接受不兼容的肾脏

Optimal Acceptance of Incompatible Kidneys

论文作者

Ren, Xingyu, Fu, Michael C., Marcus, Steven I.

论文摘要

患者和供体之间的不兼容是肾脏移植(KT)的主要障碍。肾脏供体的短缺驱动了脱敏技术的发展,以克服这种免疫学挑战。与兼容的KT相比,接受不兼容的KT的患者更有可能经历排斥,感染,恶性肿瘤和移植物损失。我们研究了对个别终末期肾脏病患者可能不兼容的肾脏的最佳接受。为了捕获不兼容的效果,我们提出了一个明确包含兼容性作为状态变量的马尔可夫决策过程(MDP)模型。由此产生的高维模型使分析更具挑战性,但是在合适的条件下,我们得出了结构性属性,包括控制极限型最佳策略,易于计算和实施。数值示例说明了在不同的不匹配水平下最佳策略的行为,并强调将不兼容水平明确纳入脱敏治疗时,将不兼容水平纳入接受决策的重要性。

Incompatibility between patient and donor is a major barrier in kidney transplantation (KT). The increasing shortage of kidney donors has driven the development of desensitization techniques to overcome this immunological challenge. Compared with compatible KT, patients undergoing incompatible KTs are more likely to experience rejection, infection, malignancy, and graft loss. We study the optimal acceptance of possibly incompatible kidneys for individual end-stage kidney disease patients. To capture the effect of incompatibility, we propose a Markov Decision Process (MDP) model that explicitly includes compatibility as a state variable. The resulting higher-dimensional model makes it more challenging to analyze, but under suitable conditions, we derive structural properties including control limit-type optimal policies that are easy to compute and implement. Numerical examples illustrate the behavior of the optimal policy under different mismatch levels and highlight the importance of explicitly incorporating the incompatibility level into the acceptance decision when desensitization therapy is an option.

扫码加入交流群

加入微信交流群

微信交流群二维码

扫码加入学术交流群,获取更多资源