论文标题
投入输出关系中的战略能量流:暂时的多层方法
Strategic energy flows in input-output relations: a temporal multilayer approach
论文作者
论文摘要
为了评估能源系统的弹性,能源消耗,通过国际贸易的转移,向可再生能源的过渡和环境可持续性似乎是关键驱动力。关于消费,在文献中,人们非常关注直接能源,但商品和服务的生产也涉及间接能源。因此,在这项工作中,我们考虑了不同类型的体现能源以及行业和国家互动的时间演变。确实,流确实用于基于可再生和不可再生资源的定向和加权的时间多层网络,其中扇区是节点,而层是国家。我们提供了一种方法论方法,用于分析网络可靠性和弹性,并通过应用多维命中算法来识别系统中关键部门和经济体。然后,我们通过根据最大流量问题提出新的拓扑指标来评估网络中的中央弧。通过这种方式,我们提供了经济,部门和连接的全面看法,这些经济体,部门和联系在网络中随着时间的推移起着相关作用,其删除可能会严重影响系统的稳定性。我们根据1990年至2016年的国家和行业之间的体现能量流提供了数值分析。结果证明,该方法有效地捕获了可再生和不可再生能源之间的不同模式。
The energy consumption, the transfer of resources through the international trade, the transition towards renewable energies and the environmental sustainability appear as key drivers in order to evaluate the resilience of the energy systems. Concerning the consumptions, in the literature a great attention has been paid to direct energy, but the production of goods and services also involves indirect energy. Hence, in this work we consider different types of embodied energy sources and the time evolution of the sectors' and countries' interactions. Flows are indeed used to construct a directed and weighted temporal multilayer network based respectively on renewable and non-renewable sources, where sectors are nodes and layers are countries. We provide a methodological approach for analysing the network reliability and resilience and for identifying critical sectors and economies in the system by applying the Multi-Dimensional HITS algorithm. Then, we evaluate central arcs in the network at each time period by proposing a novel topological indicator based on the maximum flow problem. In this way, we provide a full view of economies, sectors and connections that play a relevant role over time in the network and whose removal could heavily affect the stability of the system. We provide a numerical analysis based on the embodied energy flows among countries and sectors in the period from 1990 to 2016. Results prove that the methods are effective in catching the different patterns between renewable and non-renewable energy sources.